Finance, Economics & Technology

Tag archive

Finance

Where is the Economy Going?

in Economy by
Image by Tumisu

Over the past few years there’ve been many broad and very public predictions of an impending market downturn. I remember starting to hear them back in 2017 when people were guessing a recession might happen within 6–12 months. Obviously, that never happened. It still hasn’t, but predictions have only grown stronger in conviction.

Why? Because markets keep hitting high after high without the supporting operating fundamentals. Logically, there has to be a top; a point where markets pull back.

Keep Reading

How Can Bond Yields Predict an Economic Downturn?

in Economy/Finance/Investing by

Some economists are starting to worry about the future of the economy, pointing to a “flattening” of the yield curve, or term spread as it’s also referred to, of the bond market.

The bond market is looked at as an indicator of economic health because of how government bonds are typically in sync with interest rates and the economy at large. While not discussed as routinely as the stock market (the bond market is decidedly less sexy than the stock market), it’s about twice the size of the stock market with far more trading activity. Because bonds generally follow economic activity, they can be predictive of the stock market. And the stock market is a lagging indicator of the economy; once stocks start falling, it’s too late, just as we saw with the 2007/2008 recession. Keep Reading

Broad Predictions for Crypto & Blockchain 2018

in Blockchain/Crypto/Investing by

2018 is off to a wild start in the land of crypto. We’ve seen ICOs halted, scams boldly emerge, utility tokens be declared securities. Facebook and Twitter have banned ICO ads, and Mailchimp just announced: no more ICO or blockchain email blasts. I’ve forced myself not to check my crypto portfolio as Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to drop, and the media has all but declared Bitcoin dead.

We’re going through a shakeout, and I think it’s much needed. Keep Reading

My Love for Newspapers

in Blog by

I should preface this by noting that I have a love for many old man things (or things perceived to be for an old man like cigars, smoking slippers, the color forest green, plaid, scotch, and historical non-fiction books usually featuring finance or a political figure), and that perhaps this is part of the reason I love the experience of reading a newspaper so much.

Keep Reading

Book Club: September

in Blog by

There are many great books out there for the reader with an interest in finance or politics, and here are my favourites, as well as the ones that are sitting on the bedside table just waiting to be cracked:

Recommendations, in no particular order: 

Street Freak, by Jared Dillian

What it’s about: A Lehman Brothers trader who falls into the crazed Wall Street lifestyle of complete obnoxiousness: money, hookers and drugs, before the bank defaults and collapses. This is Dillian’s real life story and he tells it well. Perfect for the finance newbie.

My rating: Five stars. This is one of the first things I ever read that piqued my interest in finance.

The Wolf of Wall Street, by Jordan Belfort

What it’s about: You already know the story so you don’t need me to explain it, but the book is worth a read even if you’ve seen the movie. It’s also a great introduction to what life is was like on Wall Street and in brokerages – and you won’t be able to help becoming a fan of Belfort.

My rating: Five stars, it’s sensational and ridiculous and a fantastic ride.

Makers and Takers, by Rana Foroohar

What it’s about: “Eight years on from the biggest market meltdown since the Great Depression, the key lessons of the crisis of 2008 still remain unlearned—and our financial system is just as vulnerable as ever.” Foroohar is a sharp writer who highlights the utter financialization of the American economy. Also find her work in Time Magazine, and find her on Twitter here.

My rating: Four stars, still reading.

More Money Than God, by Sebastian Mallaby

What it’s about: “Splendid…the definitive history of the hedge fund, a compelling narrative full of larger-than-life characters and dramatic tales.” – The Washington Post

My rating: Two and a half stars. Interesting, but challenging to follow.

Blockchain Revolution, by Don & Alex Tapscott

What it’s about: “The technology likely to have the greatest impact on the future of the world economy has arrived, and it’s not self-driving cars, solar energy, or artificial intelligence. It’s called the blockchain.”

My rating: Four stars so far, still reading.

An Unfinished Life, John F. Kennedy 1917 – 1963, by Robert Dallek

What it’s about: The book brings “to light new revelations about JFK’s health, his love affairs, his brothers and father, and the path JFK would have taken in the Vietnam entanglement if he had survived. A blockbuster bestseller, the book was embraced by critics and readers as a landmark assessment of [America’s] 35th president.”

My rating: five fantastic stars, despite his womanizing, you will fall in love with JFK, his wit, and his charm.

Soon to be read:

Flash Boys, by Michael Lewis

What it’s about: “Flash Boys is about a small group of Wall Street guys who figure out that the U.S. stock market has been rigged for the benefit of insiders and that, post–financial crisis, the markets have become not more free but less, and more controlled by the big Wall Street banks. Working at different firms, they come to this realization separately; but after they discover one another, the flash boys band together and set out to reform the financial markets. This they do by creating an exchange in which high-frequency trading—source of the most intractable problems—will have no advantage whatsoever.”

The Big Short, by Michael Lewis

What it’s about: You know the story, you saw the movie. It’s suuuucchh a good movie, perfectly cast in my opinion. Anyway, I haven’t read the book but I imagine if the movie was that good, then the book is likely to be even better – though definitely filled with a lot more detail around the financial industry and likely not as easy to follow as the movie was. Amazon says: “The real story of the crash began in bizarre feeder markets where the sun doesn’t shine and the SEC doesn’t dare, or bother, to tread: the bond and real estate derivative markets where geeks invent impenetrable securities to profit from the misery of lower- and middle-class Americans who can’t pay their debts.”

Reagan, The Life, by H. W. Brands

What it’s about: “Reagan conveys with sweep and vigor how the confident force of Reagan’s personality and the unwavering nature of his beliefs enabled him to engineer a conservative revolution in American politics and play a crucial role in ending communism in the Soviet Union. Reagan shut down the age of liberalism and ushered in the age of Reagan, whose defining principles are still powerfully felt today.”

Titan, by Ron Chernow

What it’s about: “John D. Rockefeller, Sr. – history’s first billionaire and the patriarch of America’s most famous dynasty – is an icon whose true nature has eluded three generations of historians. Born the son of a flamboyant, bigamous snake-oil salesman and a pious, straitlaced mother, Rockefeller rose from rustic origins to become the world’s richest man by creating America’s most powerful and feared monopoly, Standard Oil.”

Sacred Economics: Money, Gift, and Society in the Age of Transition, by Charles Eisenstein

What it’s about: Sacred Economics traces the history of money from ancient gift economies to modern capitalism, revealing how the money system has contributed to alienation, competition, and scarcity, destroyed community, and necessitated endless growth. Today, these trends have reached their extreme—but in the wake of their collapse, we may find great opportunity to transition to a more connected, ecological, and sustainable way of being.

The Kennedy Half-Century, by Larry J. Sabato

What it’s about: Sabato reexamines JFK’s assassination using heretofore unseen information to which he has had unique access, then documents the extraordinary effect the assassination has had on Americans of every modern generation through the most extensive survey ever undertaken on the public’s view of a historical figure.

Jacqueline Bouvier Kennedy Onassis, by Barbara Leaming

What its about: Leaming’s extraordinary and deeply sensitive biography is the first book to document Jacqueline Kennedy Onassis’ brutal, lonely and valiant thirty-one year struggle with post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) that followed JFK’s assassination. Here is the woman as she has never been seen before. In heartrending detail, we witness a struggle that unfolded at times before our own eyes, but which we failed to understand.

Feature image taken by me, and posted to Instagram just before taking off to Whistler for the weekend.

WTF: Millennials and Our Sad Relationship with News

in Blog by

Editor’s note: see this post published on the Huffington Post, Sept. 13 2016.

Yesterday an article was published in the New York Times about Buzzfeed’s announcement that it is formally dividing its news and entertainment divisions. This news drives speculation that there could be a selloff of the news division, though Buzzfeed denies this, saying instead that the split encourages better focus on video creation where its biggest advertising dollars come from.

“The move also reflects a broader shift at media companies that are increasingly turning to video and entertainment news to lure a younger generation and attract online advertising dollars.”

What is happening here? Why is news not important to digital audiences? Keep Reading

Go to Top